Machine-translated by Google. Questions are authored in English.
Top

Discussion

Suppose X is a real random variable on a probability space \((\Omega, A, P)\) and \(\{A_{n}, n \ge 1\}\) is a sequence of events in A such that :

\[ A_{n} \to \Omega \text{ as } n \to \infty. \]

Which of the following is true ?

  • A.\(X I_{A_{n}} \xrightarrow{P} 0\)
  • B.\(X I_{A_{n}} \xrightarrow{L} 0\)
  • C.\(X I_{A_{n}} \xrightarrow{P} X\)
  • D.\(X I_{A_{n}} \xrightarrow{P} 1\)

Answer: C

\(X I_{A_{n}} \xrightarrow{P} X\).

\(A_{n} \to \Omega\) means that every outcome eventually belongs to \(A_{n}\) (for the limit set to be \(\Omega\), \(\liminf A_{n} = \Omega\)). So for every \(\omega\), \(I_{A_{n}}(\omega) = 1\) for all large \(n\), and \(X I_{A_{n}}(\omega) = X(\omega)\) from some point on. That is almost sure, indeed pointwise, convergence to X, which implies convergence in probability.

In probability terms, \(P(|X I_{A_{n}} - X| \gt \varepsilon) \le P(A_{n}^{c}) \to 0\) by continuity of P.

The limit is not 0 (in probability or in law) unless X itself is 0, and it is not the constant 1 unless X is 1.

No comment is present. Be the first to comment.
Loading…

Post your comment

Please log in or register to post a comment.