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Deriving Conclusions From Passages Questions and Answers

Important Instructions
1.

In a detailed study of annual crow births in India, it was found that there was relatively no growth during the period 2002 to 2004 and a sudden spike from 2004 to 2005. In another unrelated study, it was found that the revenue from cracker sales in India which remained fairly flat from 2002 to 2004, saw a sudden spike in 2005 before declining again in 2006. The solid line in the graph below refers to annual sale of crackers and the dashed line refers to the annual crow births in India. Choose the most appropriate inference from the above data.

Two curves against the years 2001 to 2007: annual sale of crackers (solid) and annual crow births (dashed), both rising from 2001, nearly flat from 2002 to 2004, peaking in 2005 and falling in 2006, the dashed curve running above the solid

Exam Year(s)

GATE Physics - 2018,

Answer: A

The appropriate inference is there is a strong correlation between crow birth and cracker sales.

The two curves rise, flatten, spike and fall together over the same years, so the data show a strong correlation: the two quantities move together. That is all the data can show, because the studies were unrelated and nothing links the two mechanisms.

The other three options all claim causation, in one direction or the other: that cracker use raises crow births, that falling cracker sales would lower crow births, or that more crow births raise cracker sales. Correlation alone does not establish causation; the two series could share a cause, or coincide by chance.

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2.

In the last few years, several new shopping malls were opened in the city. The total number of visitors in the malls is impressive. However, the total revenue generated through sales in the shops in these malls is generally low.

Which one of the following is the CORRECT logical inference based on the information in the above passage?

Exam Year(s)

GATE Life Sciences - 2022, GATE XE - 2022,

Answer: B

The correct inference is that more people are visiting the malls but not spending enough.

The passage gives two facts: the number of visitors is impressive, and the revenue from sales is generally low. Many visitors with low total sales means that, on average, visitors are not buying much.

'Fewer people are visiting' contradicts the impressive visitor numbers, so both options that start that way are wrong. 'Spending more' contradicts the low revenue, which rules out the remaining option.

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Direction for [ Question No: 3 To 7 ] :

Read the following paragraph to give your decision:

The smaller pesticide formulation units in India operate under heavy constraints such as obsolete technology, small scale of operation and dependence on large units for raw materials. In view of the loss of expensive material by the smaller units it is important to either eliminate or reduce losses to the extent possible through innovative and sustainable waste minimization techniques. Operating profit margins of the units are very low and small adverse conditions land these companies in trouble, Maximum losses suffered by these units are through poor housekeeping, sub-optional operating practices, and lack of proper opportunities for recycling waste.

Mark your answer as:
(A) If the inference is 'definitely true'.
(B) If the inference is 'probably true' though not definitely true.
(C) If you think the inference is 'probably false'.
(D) If you think the inference is 'definitely false'.

Answer: D

The inference is definitely false.

The paragraph says "Maximum losses suffered by these units are through poor housekeeping". So poor housekeeping is the largest source of loss, which is the reverse of saying it is not reflected in those losses. The statement contradicts the paragraph.

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4.

Recycling of wastes through modern techniques can set off large part of the losses incurred by the smaller units.

Exam Year(s)

HPPSC HPAS - 2021,

Answer: A

The key treats this inference as definitely true.

The paragraph names the lack of proper opportunities for recycling waste as one of three main sources of the units' maximum losses, and asks for "innovative and sustainable waste minimization techniques" to eliminate or reduce them. Recycling by modern techniques therefore addresses a main source of loss, which is the reading the key takes.

Strictly, the paragraph does not say how much of the loss recycling would recover, so "large part" is a strong word and some would call the inference only probably true. The key does not.

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5.

Pesticide units should necessarily be on a large scale to make them economically viable.

Exam Year(s)

HPPSC HPAS - 2021,

Answer: B

The key treats this inference as probably true.

The paragraph lists small scale of operation among the heavy constraints of the smaller units, and says their margins are very low, which suggests that scale matters to viability. It does not say that large scale is necessary, so the inference is not definitely true. It is not contradicted either, so it is probably true.

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Answer: A

The key treats this inference as definitely true.

The paragraph calls for innovative and sustainable waste minimization techniques and complains of obsolete technology and poor opportunities for recycling, which together point to waste handling that needs modernizing. The key takes the statement as following directly.

The paragraph speaks of small pesticide units and not of India's waste management as a whole, so a stricter reading would call the inference only probably true. The key does not.

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Answer: B

The key treats this inference as probably true.

The paragraph says the units' operating profit margins are very low and that poor housekeeping is a main source of loss, but it never states the reason for the poor housekeeping. Lack of funds is a plausible cause given the low margins, which makes the inference probably true, but the paragraph does not say it, so it is not definitely true.

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Direction for [ Question No: 8 To 10 ] :

India needs higher investment in the port sector and still lags far behind the international ports in container traffic, though there has been considerable growth in this segment over the past few years. There is a need to continually benchmark Indian ports against the best ports worldwide and continue to engage in policy efforts so as to attain prices per container of port services which are the lowest in the world. The average turn-around time for ships docking at most of the ports in India has been falling for the past three years. However, pre-berthing time has been marginally increasing over the years.

Answer: C

Correct answer: Data inadequate

The passage says Indian ports should be benchmarked against the best ports worldwide, but it never says where those ports are. Nothing in it points to the United States or to any other country. The statement is therefore neither supported nor contradicted - it is simply outside what the passage tells us, which is what makes it a data inadequate case rather than a false one.

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Answer: C

Correct answer: Data inadequate

The passage says there is a need to continually benchmark Indian ports against the best in the world. That is a recommendation about what should be done in future; it does not tell us whether any grading has already been carried out. A call for something to be done regularly is not evidence that it has never been done at all, so the passage leaves the question open.

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Answer: D

Correct answer: Probably false

The passage states the opposite: pre-berthing time has been marginally increasing over the years. It is the average turn-around time that has been falling. The statement therefore runs against what is written, and since the fourth option here is worded ‘probably false’ rather than ‘definitely false’, that is the strongest verdict available - and the right one to choose when the contradiction is clear but the passage hedges with ‘marginally’.

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