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Which range do MYCIN certainty factors occupy?

  • A.Minus one to plus one
  • B.Zero to one, with one half representing complete ignorance about the hypothesis concerned
  • C.Zero to one hundred
  • D.Minus infinity to plus infinity, with the sign indicating support for or against a claim

Answer: A

A certainty factor runs from -1 for complete disbelief through 0 for no evidence to +1 for certainty, and it is the difference between a belief measure and a disbelief measure, each of which lies in the unit interval. The signed range lets confirming and disconfirming evidence be expressed on one scale. A unit interval, a percentage or an unbounded scale would each lose part of that convenience. Framing the question as which quantity the change acts upon makes the answer follow without calculation.

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