Machine-translated by Google. Questions are authored in English.
Top

Discussion

Which of the following options is true ?

Messages arrive on a mobile phone according to the Poisson process with rate 5 messages per hour. The probability that no message arrives during 10 : 00 am to 12 : 00 noon is :

  • A.\(2e^{-5}\)
  • B.\(e^{-10}\)
  • C.\(1 - e^{-10}\)
  • D.\(e^{-\frac{2}{5}}\)

Answer: B

The probability is e−10.

From 10:00 am to 12:00 noon is 2 hours. In a Poisson process with rate 5 per hour, the number of messages in 2 hours is Poisson with mean \(5 \times 2 = 10\), so

\[ P(N = 0) = e^{-10} \]

\(1 - e^{-10}\) is the probability of at least one message, \(2e^{-5}\) uses a one-hour mean and doubles it incorrectly, and \(e^{-2/5}\) divides the time by the rate instead of multiplying.

No comment is present. Be the first to comment.
Loading…

Post your comment

Please log in or register to post a comment.