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Suppose \(\underline{X}_{2 \times 1} \sim\) Bivariate Normal

\[ \left(\begin{bmatrix} 4 \\ 1 \end{bmatrix}, \begin{bmatrix} 2 & -1 \\ -1 & 5 \end{bmatrix}\right). \]

Then the distribution of \(3Y = 3X_{1} - 4X_{2}\) is :

  • A.Normal (-1, 26)
  • B.Normal (8, 62)
  • C.Normal (8, 98)
  • D.Normal (8, 122)

Answer: D

\(3X_{1} - 4X_{2}\) is Normal (8, 122).

A linear combination \(a'X\) of a bivariate normal vector is normal with mean \(a'\mu\) and variance \(a'\Sigma a\). With \(a = (3, -4)'\):

\[ \begin{aligned} \text{mean} &= 3(4) - 4(1) = 8 \\ \text{variance} &= 9(2) + 16(5) - 2(3)(4)(-1) \\ &= 18 + 80 + 24 = 122 \end{aligned} \]

The covariance is negative and the coefficients have opposite signs, so the cross term adds to the variance. Ignoring the cross term gives 98, the third option. Normal(8, 62) has the right mean but a variance that does not equal \(a'\Sigma a\), and Normal(-1, 26) has the wrong mean as well.

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