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Which growth rate does baroclinic instability theory predict?

  • A.An e-folding time of about one day
  • B.An e-folding time of about one hour, matching the development of an individual convective storm cell
  • C.An e-folding time of one week
  • D.A growth rate independent of the shear, being determined by the Coriolis parameter and stability alone

Answer: A

The maximum growth rate is proportional to the shear divided by the buoyancy frequency, giving an e-folding time near 24 hours for typical mid-latitude values. That matches the observed pace at which a cyclone develops from a barely visible wave to a mature system in two or three days. The rate depends strongly on the shear, so a theory giving a shear-independent answer would contradict observation immediately. Checking the units of each quantity catches a wrong formula before the arithmetic begins.

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