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Suppose \(\{X_{n}\}\) is a sequence of random variables and X is a random variable such that \(P\left[\lim_{n\to\infty} X_{n} = X\right] = 1\).

Then which of the following may not hold ?

  • A.\(\lim_{n\to\infty} P[|X_{n} - X| \gt 1/2] = 0\)
  • B.\(P\left[\lim_{n\to\infty} \exp(X_{n}) = \exp(X)\right] = 1\)
  • C.\(\lim_{n\to\infty} E[|X_{n} - X|^{2}] = 0\)
  • D.\(\lim_{n\to\infty} P[X_{n} \le x] = P[X \le x]\) at all continuity points \(x\) of \(P[X \le x]\)

Answer: C

The one that may not hold is \(\lim E[|X_{n} - X|^{2}] = 0\).

Almost sure convergence implies convergence in probability (A) and in distribution (D), and a continuous function such as exp preserves almost sure convergence (B). It does not imply convergence in mean square.

Example: on (0, 1) with Lebesgue measure, \(X_{n} = n\,1_{(0, 1/n)}\) tends to \(X = 0\) at every point, but \(E[X_{n}^{2}] = n^{2} \cdot \tfrac{1}{n} = n \to \infty\). Without a uniform integrability condition, the mean square need not converge.

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