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Let \(\{X_{n}\}\) be a sequence of random variables and X a random variable such that :

\[ \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P[|X_{n} - X| \gt \epsilon] \lt \infty \]

for every \(\epsilon \gt 0\).

Consider the statements :

(I) \(P\left[\lim_{n \to \infty} X_{n} = X\right] = 1\)
(II) \(P\left[\lim_{n \to \infty} X_{n}^{2} = X^{2}\right] = 1\)
(III) \(P\left[\lim_{n \to \infty} X_{n} = X\right]\) only if \(\{X_{n}\}\) is a sequence of independent random variables.

Which of the above are always correct ?

  • A.(I) only
  • B.(I) and (II) only
  • C.(III) only
  • D.None of the three

Answer: B

The statements always correct are (I) and (II) only.

By the Borel-Cantelli lemma, \(\sum P[|X_{n} - X| \gt \epsilon] \lt \infty\) for every \(\epsilon\) means that, almost surely, \(|X_{n} - X| \gt \epsilon\) happens only finitely often. So \(X_{n} \to X\) almost surely (I). Since \(x \mapsto x^{2}\) is continuous, \(X_{n}^{2} \to X^{2}\) almost surely too (II).

(III) is false: this half of Borel-Cantelli needs no independence. Independence matters only for the converse, the second Borel-Cantelli lemma. So options including (III), or 'none of the three', are wrong.

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