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Under Midzuno's sampling design the inclusion probability of \(i\)th element \(\pi_{i}\) is at least :

  • A.\(\frac{n - 1}{N - 1}\)
  • B.\(\frac{n}{N}\)
  • C.\(\frac{n(n - 1)}{N - 1}\)
  • D.\(\frac{n(n - 1)}{N}\)

Answer: A

The inclusion probability is at least \(\dfrac{n - 1}{N - 1}\).

In Midzuno's scheme the first unit is drawn with probability proportional to size, \(p_{i}\), and the remaining \(n - 1\) units by SRSWOR from the other \(N - 1\). Unit \(i\) is included either as the first draw or as one of the later ones:

\[ \begin{aligned} \pi_{i} &= p_{i} + (1 - p_{i})\frac{n - 1}{N - 1} \\ &= \frac{n - 1}{N - 1} + \frac{N - n}{N - 1}\,p_{i} \end{aligned} \]

Since \(p_{i} \ge 0\), \(\pi_{i} \ge (n - 1)/(N - 1)\), with equality only for a unit of size zero.

\(n/N\) is the inclusion probability under SRSWOR, which is not a lower bound here (a small unit can fall below it). The forms \(n(n - 1)/(N - 1)\) and \(n(n - 1)/N\) are not probabilities in general, since they can exceed 1.

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