Machine-translated by Google. Questions are authored in English.
Top

Estimation Theory Questions and Answers

1.

Let \(x_{1} = 2.2,\ x_{2} = 4.3,\ x_{3} = 3.1,\ x_{4} = 4.5,\ x_{5} = 1.1\) and \(x_{6} = 5.7\) be the observed values of a random sample of size 6 from a \(U(\theta - 1, \theta + 4)\) distribution, where \(\theta \in (0, \infty)\) is unknown. Then a maximum likelihood estimate of \(\theta\) is equal to

Exam Year(s)

GATE Mathematics - 2015,

Answer: A

A maximum likelihood estimate is 1.8.

The density of \(U(\theta - 1, \theta + 4)\) is \(\frac{1}{5}\) on an interval of fixed length 5, so the likelihood is \((1/5)^{6}\) whenever all observations lie in the interval, and 0 otherwise. Any \(\theta\) that keeps the sample inside is an MLE.

\[ \begin{aligned} \theta - 1 &\le x_{(1)} = 1.1 \Rightarrow \theta \le 2.1 \\ \theta + 4 &\ge x_{(6)} = 5.7 \Rightarrow \theta \ge 1.7 \end{aligned} \]

Every \(\theta\) in \([1.7, 2.1]\) maximises the likelihood, and 1.8 is the only option in that range. 2.3, 3.1 and 3.6 make \(\theta - 1\) exceed the smallest observation 1.1, giving likelihood 0.

Please log in or register to report this question.

2.

The forecasts on the basis of a time series are :

Exam Year(s)

MH SET - 2023, SET Exam - 2023,

Answer: B

Time series forecasts are true to some extent.

A time series forecast projects the trend, seasonal and cyclical components found in past data into the future. Its random or irregular component cannot be predicted, and the future may not follow past patterns, so forecasts are approximations with some error.

They are never guaranteed to be 100% true, yet they are useful and often fairly close, so 'never true' is also wrong. Since the first and third options contradict each other, 'All of the above' cannot be right.

Please log in or register to report this question.

3.

The geometric mean of the following data : 4, 10, 25, 10 is

Exam Year(s)

UGC NET - 2012,

Answer: A

The geometric mean of 4, 10, 25 and 10 is 10. It is the fourth root of the product, and the product is 4 x 10 x 25 x 10 = 10,000. The fourth root of 10,000 is 10, since 10^4 = 10,000. The arithmetic mean would be 12.25, the sum 49 divided by 4, which is the distractor of 12.25. The value 5 would need a product of 625 and 100/49 is just 49 turned into a fraction with the product 100, so neither comes from multiplying these four numbers. Using the logarithm form gives the same result: the mean of log 4, log 10, log 25 and log 10 is one, so the geometric mean is 10.

Please log in or register to report this question.

4.

If the mean of a sample is 20, the standard error of mean is 1 and the t-statistic for 95% level of confidence is 2.5, the population mean will be in the range

Exam Year(s)

UGC NET - 2012,

Answer: A

The population mean is estimated by a confidence interval, mean plus or minus t times the standard error of the mean. Here that is \(20 \pm 2.5 \times 1 = 20 \pm 2.5\), so the interval is 17.5 to 22.5. The interval 15 to 25 would need a margin of 5, that is a standard error of 2 or a t of 5. The intervals 20 to 25 and 15 to 20 are one-sided and do not centre on the sample mean, so the symmetric interval 17.5 to 22.5 is the only correct one.

Please log in or register to report this question.

5.

The third moment about the mean of a distribution of a set of observations is a measure of

Exam Year(s)

UGC NET - 2012,

Answer: B

The third moment about the mean measures skewness, the asymmetry of a distribution. A positive third moment means a longer tail to the right and a negative one a longer tail to the left, and the skewness coefficient is the third moment divided by the cube of the standard deviation. The mode is a measure of location, not a moment. Kurtosis is the fourth moment and describes peakedness and tail weight, and variance is the second moment about the mean.

Please log in or register to report this question.

6.

If the standard deviation of a population is 20, the population and sample means are 35 and 33, respectively and the t-statistic at 95% confidence level is 2.5, the sample size is

Exam Year(s)

UGC NET - 2012,

Answer: D

For a sample mean tested against a population mean with a known standard deviation, the statistic is \(t = \dfrac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}}\). Putting in the values:

\[ 2.5 = \frac{35 - 33}{20/\sqrt{n}} \]

\[ \sqrt{n} = \frac{2.5 \times 20}{2} = 25 \]

\[ n = 25^{2} = 625 \]

So the sample size is 625. The values 100, 125 and 250 come from dropping the square root or from using the wrong difference of the means, and they do not satisfy the equation.

Please log in or register to report this question.

7.

A sample of 17 measurements of the diameter of a spherical particle gave a mean = 5 μm and a standard deviation = 0.5 μm. Assuming t-statistic for 16 degrees of freedom \(t_{0.05} \approx 2\), the 95% confidence limits of actual diameter are

Exam Year(s)

UGC NET - 2013,

Answer: A

The 95 per cent confidence limits are about 4.75 and 5.25 micrometre.

The limits of the mean are the sample mean plus or minus t times the standard error, where the standard error is the standard deviation over the square root of the sample size.

\[ 5 \pm 2 \times \frac{0.5}{\sqrt{17}} = 5 \pm 0.24 \]

That gives 4.76 to 5.24, which is closest to option (A). Using the standard deviation itself (5 plus or minus 1) gives 4 to 6 micrometre, which is option (B) and is wrong, and 4.9 to 5.1 and 4.5 to 5.5 do not follow from the calculation.

Please log in or register to report this question.

Loading…

Other Subjects

Tags: Estimation Theory Questions and Answers || Estimation Theory MCQ Questions and Answers || Estimation Theory GK Questions and Answers || Estimation Theory GK MCQ Questions || Estimation Theory Multiple Choice Questions and Answers || Estimation Theory GK || GK on Estimation Theory || Probability and Statistics Questions and Answers || Probability and Statistics MCQ Questions and Answers || Probability and Statistics GK Questions and Answers || GK on Probability and Statistics